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The conflict that exist towards gamlers fallacy.

Started by ego, Nov 02, 09:06 AM 2011

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ego


Gamblers fallacy dictate that nothing is due to happen - i can show you the oppisite.
But is up to you to run the simulations by your self.
I will provide you with simulation software so you can make how many tests you want to prove me wrong.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

ego


First out you can give all singels the value of 1 and all series (no matter Lenght) value 1.
There is as much singels as series - with other words no different then playing red and black or a 50 situation.

Probability dictates that after measuring a strong imbalance using STD there will be correction.
To illustrate this in a simple way we are going to measuring imbalance using singels being overrepresented and series being underrepresented and the other way around measuring how series are overrepresented and singels being underrepresented - imbalance that reach at least 3.00 STD.

Then i will show you have correction appears in two ways applying this two ways of measuring the distribution of independent outcomes.
The only rule is that you have a imbalance with at most 50 events and less is better.
One singel is one event and one serie is one event.
After that window appear you will allways find correction for the next 200 trails/outcomes - no matter how many simulations you run.

It like finding a vacuum with overrepresented formation with force the future to show the underrepresented formations - correction.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

ego


You can download 100 000 every day from random org with 10 000 sampels files with you save using note pad.
You load the software with does files and the software will find the window imbalance for you.

I attach the software below.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

ego


The math ...



The french word for Standard Deviation is Ecart and will be the name I use from now on.

First you have to get the Absolute Ecart when you calculate.
So lets assume you have an sequence with 14 series alternating with two singles present.

Then you take 14 - 2 = 12

Now we want to get the statistical ecart so we continue with...

14 + 2 = 16

Now we take the sqr of 16 = 4

And finally we divide the absolute ecart whit the sqr

12 sqr 4 = 3,00

The Statistical Ecart 3,00
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

ego

Statistical Ecart 3,00


R
R
R One serie

B
B One serie

R One singel

B
B
B
B One serie

R
R One serie

B
B
B One serie

R
R One serie

B
B

R
R One serie

B
B One serie

R One singel

B
B One serie

R
R
R
R One serie

B
B One serie

R
R One serie

B
B..3,00 STD

R..R
B..B
R..R Correction
R.
R
B
B
R..R
B..B
R..R Correction
R
B..B
R..R Correction
R
B..B
R..R Correction
B..B
B -
R..R
B..B Correction
R..R
B..B
R..R
B..B
B
R
R
B..B
R..R Correction
B..B
B
B

Every series of two singels or more in a row is a direct correction or two singels follow each other during the distribution.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

ego

2
1 One singel
2 One singel
1 One singel
1 One serie
1
1
2
1 One singel
2 One singel
1 One singel
2 One singel
1 One singel
2 One singel
1 One singel
1 One serie
2
1 One singel - Statistical Ecart around 2.5
2 One singel
2
2
1
2
2 Correction
2
2
2
1
2
1 Get stronger Ecart
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2 Correction
2
2
2
2
1
2
2 Correction
1
2
2
2
2 Correction
1
1 Correction
2
2 Correction
2
1
1 Correction
2
1
1
1 Correction
2
1
1 Correction
1
2
1
1 Correction
1
2
1
2 Ecart getting stronger
1

Every two series in a row or any series going back to back with one singel stop the imbalance to grow and are one correction of the previos imbalance.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

-