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What is The Less Volatile Bet Selection???

Started by albertojonas, Apr 20, 11:05 PM 2012

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albertojonas

Hello Everyone.


For You What is the less volatile bet selection,-not money management- you did find?


What i mean is referring to the LW registry.


The bet selection that with flat betting, gives shorter streaks of losses.


Cheers

TwoCatSam

How I am longing to hear some answers on this topic.

We're it not for volatility, we'd all be rich.

Math says the more numbers you bet, the less volatile your system will be.  Like five double streets.  Not very volatile, but when it is--it's a killer.  And it takes very little volatility to ruin the bankroll.  No flat-betting here for sure.

I have long held the secret lies in multiple-proposition betting.  I constantly search for the two propositions which will allow me to combine them into a bet, use a (gasp!) Martingale, and be assured of a winner every four bets.  Don't care much if they are rather large, just want no fifth bet to be on the horizon.

I once raised the question of "Martingale Averaging" somewhere on some forum, or I stole it from someone maybe.  I still go to sleep with that one kickin' about the ol' bean.

TwoCatSam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.  ...Will Rogers

hanshuckebein

I've always wondered wether one can reduce volatility by sort of "diffusing" the bet selection.

this is just an example:

we play two groups of numbers. group A: 1-6; 16-17; 25-33
group B: 7-15; 19-24; 34-36. these two groups create two even money bets.

we could now play the usual FTL bet selection and would meet the usual fluctuation.

but what will happen if we add one more factor to our bet selection process? i.e. in case of a change  from A to B (A A A B ...) we add the rule to "only follow the change and bet B if the last spun number was black. if it was red continue betting A.

would such an extra diffusor have an influence on volatility?  :question:

cheers

hans






"Don't criticize what you don't understand. You never walked in that man's shoes." (Elvis Presley)

albertojonas

did you test it?


i also tried with different sets of numbers, like opposite sectors...


vundarosa

Quote from: albertojonas on Apr 20, 11:05 PM 2012
Hello Everyone.


For You What is the less volatile bet selection,-not money management- you did find?


What i mean is referring to the LW registry.


The bet selection that with flat betting, gives shorter streaks of losses.


Cheers

-----------------------

ok, for "shorter streaks of losses" well, not joking,.............straight bet all numbers but 2  :ooh:  for a 1u win

vundarosa

ego


Well i don't use systems - but based upon what i read and hear so is RWD pretty good playing one number ...
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

hanshuckebein

@alberto

I haven't tested it, yet. these are just some thoughts that have wandered through my mind. of course, it  might be a case of huckebein's fallacy.  :)

cheers

hans
"Don't criticize what you don't understand. You never walked in that man's shoes." (Elvis Presley)

albertojonas

Quote from: ego on Apr 24, 01:40 AM 2012
Well i don't use systems - but based upon what i read and hear so is RWD pretty good playing one number ...


rwd?


Please Ego, you keep teasing me and you know i can not resist it =)

ego

Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Jeromin

For low volatility stay away from roulette. Try sports. There are bets were a long L sequence is rare and the odds reasonably close to even. Horse racing and soccer but possibly also other sports.


Jeromin
The better the gambler, the worse the man.  Publilius Syrus

albertojonas

It is a very nice market indeed. thx for observation. =)


StackBundles

please dont call it soccer its football and yes trading on betfair is good profit just need access to a live feed and your in the money!

TwoCatSam

BUT..........

If you were playing roulette, what is the least volatile bet selection?

Sam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.  ...Will Rogers

Juiced91

I will call it what I want. Don't know who you are to tell people what to call the game. Its dependant on where you are from.

albertojonas

lets keep this on topic please.
soccer=football


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