Probability for 13 in a row.

[TwoCatSam]

Not taking sides here--just stating a fact.

The net had it that Obama's case would come before the Supreme Court on such and such date to determine if he was an American or a Kenyan.

Can't remember the exact date, but I do remember the Court was in recess.

[Ralph]

Not taking sides here--just stating a fact.

The net had it that Obama's case would come before the Supreme Court on such and such date to determine if he was an American or a Kenyan.

Can't remember the exact date, but I do remember the Court was in recess.

Sam!
I suspect or are almost sure, you do not like Obama or the democrats, I do the same, but if I were able to vote in US, I may have given him my vote, in lack of better. No wonder just about 50%  vote, here it is low if 80% do it.
Oh yeah, some countries report 102% vote on ONE party. We are used to at least 4-7 parties, but only one zero at the wheel.

[kingsroulette]

A friend told me he just got 13 even numbers in a row, and he ask me for the probability of that.My answer was 100.000000%.

           You are very wrong. The probability is never 100% but merely 48.6%.

[Ralph]

           You are very wrong. The probability is never 100% but merely 48.6%.

You look at 14 in a row. All 13 was done, and that's which is done has a probability of 100%.
Next has about little less than 100%, exactly depends wheel kind.

[TwoCatSam]

Ralph

It's just that my wife and I had dinner with a woman and her husband and this woman literally hates Obama.  She related this alleged Supreme Court Case to me and when I told her the Court was in recess and the court date was fake--well, she just wouldn't have it because she had read it on the internet and it was true.  I went home and read it.

The nut who wrote it did not have sense enough to check the court dates.  It's like saying the hearing was on the 32nd of March or the 30th of February.

I do not like Obama.  Not because he's black.  I like lots of black people.  Or African-American, whichever the reader prefers.  I like some Democrats, although I think the poor souls are terribly misguided.

Jesus said, "The poor will always be with us."  To me, that means you will no legislate "poor-ess" out of society.  Any society.  And the liberal Demos think they can eliminate "poor-ness" like it was polio.

Sam

[kingsroulette]

You look at 14 in a row. All 13 was done, and that's which is done has a probability of 100%.
Next has about little less than 100%, exactly depends wheel kind.

Come on!!!!!!!!!!   
There are always two ECs standing against each other and a green goblin Zero. How can the probability be 100% for a single EC? 100% probability isn't there if we bet both ECs like red and black together which are counterparts to hit, zero may still come.
           I wonder what kind of mathematicians are here on the forums teaching alien science.

[Ralph]

If you do a spin, and red is falling, what is the probability it has happen? Before the spin it is 50% on NOZ after it is 100% if red fall, because we know it was red, we know for sure it was red, it will never change to black.


That's the reason it is no use for waiting a row of EC and bet opposite.

[TwoCatSam]

Past vs Future.

Past = 100%
Future = 50%

The odds that something HAS happened are always 100%. 

Sam

[Drazen]

That's the reason it is no use for waiting a row of EC and bet opposite.

Uuuu how wrong my friend 

How can you say that when there is pretty much difference in probability of sequence of 2 in a row or 15 in a row?

Does number of 2 in a row sequences happens same amount of times as the ones of 15 in a row?

Anyhow the trick is not to rely on only one row 

Best

Drazen

[Ralph]

What you miss is that's allready happens has very little to do next, that's random!!!
Whats already happend is true and 100% happen, future is different!



Any spin which is history can not change it is red or black on NOZ, next is a chance.


My friend ask for the probability of 13 in a row, which had happen, what is the probability that will change?

[Drazen]

What you miss is that's allready happens has very little to do next, that's random!!!

The only thing I do miss are losing sessions my friend and deep drawdowns because of this what you are saying opposite.

I really don't see and don't understand philosophy of saying that if something just happened, it is true  Huh.. really?

And although random is "uncatchable" or unpredictable or whatever for someone, it has some laws to which it MUST obey. They can be observed through science as statistics is.

Anyway as ego says, we have to agree that we disagree.

Regards

Drazen

[Ralph]

Any who claims a random outcome can be predicted, must have some plus (and very much). I am lucky, and I can not predict the future better than chance! Who can?
My success is luck!!.


Still we must care, we can do some, 5% about.
Whats just happen just happen, nothing to do about that. Who can change the outcome of the last spin?

[Drazen]

Luck in roulette is called variance. There is nothing else in this game.

If you can control it one way or another, you have the game beaten. Simple as that.

Over and out

Drazen

[Obi Wan]

Sorry ralph but you are clearly on a different wave length and i know nothing can alter your mind or opinion. Even with facts presented i know your opinion will still not change, its fair enough, but you cannot argue with facts my friend.

[Ralph]

Luck in roulette is called variance. There is nothing else in this game.

If you can control it one way or another, you have the game beaten. Simple as that.

Over and out

Drazen

That is right, on NOZ it is  variance to handle, and the luck is to be on the better side. On zero wheel we get grinded down because of odds.