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Which Force Is At Work? Is It The Magical Ether. Does It Exist?

Started by The General, May 08, 04:09 PM 2016

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Bayes

Quote from: The General on May 09, 08:18 PM 2016
Bayes,

Oddly enough several years back we found a casino that had a few wheels with a red bias.  The casino had replaced the red inserts, but not the black inserts..I guess because they didn't have the correct material.  The red inserts were deadening the ball more, I guess because of how they were glued.  Regardless, it was one of the few times where a player could get an advantage playing on the outside.

That's very cool.  :)

The answer to the question is no - you wouldn't be committing the GF if your reason for betting on black after 9 reds was based on empirical evidence (even if you don't have an explanation for the data, as in your example of the inserts). The data might be inadequate or incorrectly analysed, but it wouldn't be a matter of faulty logic.
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

winkel

Which force is at Work?

It is definitly the same force that makes independent events to fulfill the law of thirds

br
There is always a game

TurboGenius

Quote from: winkel on May 10, 10:49 AM 2016
Which force is at Work?

It is definitly the same force that makes independent events to fulfill the law of thirds

br

:thumbsup:
Random certainly does produce predictable patterns thanks to it being random.
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Bayes

Quote from: Bayes on May 10, 06:59 AM 2016
The answer to the question is no - you wouldn't be committing the GF if your reason for betting on black after 9 reds was based on empirical evidence (even if you don't have an explanation for the data, as in your example of the inserts). The data might be inadequate or incorrectly analysed, but it wouldn't be a matter of faulty logic.

Actually, the example of the inserts is a case of bias, not independence. You still wouldn't be able to predict that red was coming next, given that some blacks had hit, but you would have an advantage just betting on red.

"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

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