The VdW Matrix: can we profit in 81 spins?

[falkor2k15]

In every 9 outcomes of High/Low, including other ECs (or any 2 events) there has to be 3 Highs or 3 Lows forming an arithmetic sequence with equal distance! There be just one AP in 9 spins or there could be many. This has been covered before in Priyanka's Random Thoughts topics. Here I've taken it a step further and analysed all APs within a 9 x 9 Matrix; is there some playability here I wonder? 



Do outcomes attached to multiple APs have more chance of occurring?

How constant might the above stats be and could we use the law of the third to guide us?

Are the diagonal outcomes more significant than the rest, and should we pay more attention to those bets? How about the middle square?

Would it make any difference if we spaced out and pieced our directions (columns, rows) as we went along to try to make a kind of jigsaw?

By using virtual bets or re-arranging our row/columns as we go along (or any kind of VdW exploitation) can we trap random using overlapping Non-Random APs and force a win - or at least increase our chances - at certain times over others?

[RouletteGhost]

In every 9 outcomes of High/Low, including other ECs (or any 2 events) there has to be 3 Highs or 3 Lows forming an arithmetic sequence with equal distance!

In what way does this fact help

[falkor2k15]

It seems that if an AP is supported in multiple directions (including odd angles) then there's more chance of occurring? I got +3 so far - but could have got +6:


So that might be the only trick.

[falkor2k15]

Looking back there's another +2 from covering odd angles. I now seriously think that this might be the secret of how to gain edge with VdW: when potential APs are supported in multiple directions or overlapped by parallel APs then there's more chance of forming the AP. For example, Priyanka mentioned VdW is versatile: we could apply S/D, CW/CCW, H/L (3 different types of AP streams) against 1 stream of random data. Here we are doing something similar: we have put VdW in a square matrix with many different overlapping AP streams to guide us. And we know that most APs that do get to form are formed in multiple directions - so we should bet them more when supported in multiple directions. So I think I have made a strong case for this. 

This would be quite fun to play at the casino! 

[falkor2k15]

I counted all possible APs in all directions - including odd angles, FOR and AGAINST the winning AP - and the results were as follows (if played for real):

Wins = 35
Losses = 23
Virtual/Skipped = 22
Total = +12



Note:
3 APs FOR vs. 0 Against (3/0) = count 6
0 AP AGAINST vs. 3 FOR (0/3) = count 1

That stat is quite revealing IMO... I don't think this can be due to luck.

[RouletteGhost]

Are you going to explain to us like we are students what EXACTLY you are doing?

So we can at least formulate opinions.

[falkor2k15]

The VdW matrix I look for APs in all possible directions (west, northwest, north and northeast). If supported by majority of APs then I bet.
It's difficult to play but we don't have to track cycles or anything else on the board other than APs for a simple EC like High and Low. So I just check those 4 directions
west: AP possible? +1 for H
northwest: AP possible? +1 for L
north AP possible? +1 for L
northeast AP possible: not enough squares, say.

2/1 for L so we bet L!

[falkor2k15]

Somebody give me 81 numbers and choose the EC for me to play... I will  then go through it step-by-step...

[Azim]

You want them all together or a few at a time?

[falkor2k15]

One more stat:
-If we had flat-bet only L we would have won: 11
-If we had flat-bet only H we would have lost: -11
-If we played the VdW Matrix on both L/H then we would have won +12

You want them all together or a few at a time?

Altogether + choose EC.

[Azim]

Altogether + choose EC.

ok. that is no fun if you know the numbers in advance.. Why not do it a few at a time and explain?

[falkor2k15]

ok. that is no fun if you know the numbers in advance.. Why not do it a few at a time and explain?

OK give me 9 at a time until we get to 81?

[mogul397]

OK give me 9 at a time until we get to 81?

17B
31B
36R
35B
26B
27R
20B
23B
31B

(I'm always willing to help someone who wants to explain something.
I'm usually the one that needs the explaining)

[falkor2k15]

one mistake - reposting

[falkor2k15]

OK let's go... we start with the first row, so we can only bet based on forming APs to the west to begin with (same for the next couple of rows):

B

West: No potential AP possible

B   B   

B   B   

West: 1,2,3 possible on B

B   B   R   

Total profit: -1   

B   B   R

West: No potential AP possible

B   B   R   B   

West: No potential AP possible

B   B   R   B   B   

West: 4,5,6 possible on B

B   B   R   B   B   R

Total profit: -2   

B   B   R   B   B   R

West: 1,4,7 possible on B

B   B   R   B   B   R   B

Total profit: -1

B   B   R   B   B   R   B

West: 2,5,8 pssible on B

B   B   R   B   B   R   B   B

Total profit: 0

B   B   R   B   B   R   B   B

West: Possible 3,6,9 on Red
West: Possible 7,8,9 on Black
=Clash! (don't bet)

B   B   R   B   B   R   B   B   B

Ok - next 9 numbers please!