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Started by rrbb, Jun 18, 05:33 AM 2017
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Quote from: rrbb on Jun 18, 05:50 AM 2017can we redefine roulette in such a way that we introduce dependencies?And if so: what do we actually bet on? On something we think that will happen?
Quote from: 3Nine on Jun 18, 06:38 AM 2017all ships rise with the tide
Quote from: Herby on Jun 18, 06:51 AM 2017Titanic maybe not; for the visual
Quote from: rrbb on Jun 18, 07:03 AM 2017So to complicate things: how to NOT bet on events? What is the alternative??
Quote from: Herby on Jun 18, 07:38 AM 2017Bet on the Anti event.
Quote from: rrbb on Jun 18, 07:03 AM 2017Yes indeed, happy fathersday!So although praline's statement is not untrue, the question is how to utilize it. And before you know it, you have a system that waits for a repeat.But as Herby indicated: a lot is happening in, and inbetween cycles.It is very difficult to grasp, not betting on events. All, yes all systems discussed on this forum are about betting on events. Some really stupid systems, some very sophisticated, but all, all loose. Why? Think about the thought experiment.If there is a method, it MUST use the fact that there are indeed dependencies. This is the only loophole out to avoid the law of large numbers.But it must be a fragile method: at the moment one tries to predict an event, it collapses onto the law of large numbers again.So to complicate things: how to NOT bet on events? What is the alternative??Please note: using random is just a way to bet on events (the randomly generated numbers are the new predictions). So if such a method exists, it needs to be a little bit more sophisticated