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Theories, Myths, Facts And Ideas

Started by MoneyT101, Oct 06, 06:37 PM 2019

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0 Members and 5 Guests are viewing this topic.

MoneyT101

Any prediction of the next spin will fail

Joe, very nice breakdown on the 52 cards.

What if instead of taking the ace and putting it back in deck you put the ace across on the table and now you have a deck of 51 cards and a deck of 1 card.

Now you put a blind fold on and spin the table and place your hand on either deck.  Your chances of pulling an ace are still 4/52. 

But what are your chances of pulling the ace in the deck of 51 and the ace in the deck of 1? 

I shouldn’t have to tell you cause your a math expert but it’s 1/2.  Half the time I will pick the deck full of repeats or the deck full of uniques.

Now the real question is...if I did this same thing while playing roulette.  Is it the same effect? 

Keep in mind in my deck example the cards are always  4/52 for aces just like in roulette 1/37.  Nothing has changed...

Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

Quote from: Blueprint on Oct 19, 08:43 AM 2019
Another contradiction.

If you read my post I state my reason for not sharing ideas.  Not that I don’t understand his cycle talk!

Keep worrying about contradiction 😂, clearly you have trouble reading.  Maybe that’s why redd and pri gave up on you
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Blueprint

I’m not worried about a thing. I know who I am and I clearly know who you are and why no one talks to you in the first place. 

Btw for anyone following, the answer to Money Mels earlier question - I am one Of many who gave him information while he struggled. 

Now, why again is he posting?



Blueprint

You’ve all been warned. 

It’s no longer my problem.   

Good luck with the chase Mel.  And thank you for loading my luggage ;)

MoneyT101

Quote from: Blueprint on Oct 19, 09:14 AM 2019
I’m not worried about a thing. I know who I am and I clearly know who you are and why no one talks to you in the first place. 

Btw for anyone following, the answer to Money Mels earlier question - I am one Of many who gave him information while he struggled. 

Now, why again is he posting?

What you shared made me struggle more.  Now what you didn’t share with me but I got from others helped  :thumbsup:

So  guess thank you in a way...

Also admit you just shared with ppl to get information.  It wasn’t out of the goodness of your heart.  That’s why you sit there trying to make it seem like I’m doing that.  Not everyone is like you Jon 🤪
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Blueprint

I shared to f'ing help people.  You haven't got a clue. 

YOU have helped NO ONE. 

I believe you're referring to MATT's information that was abused by you, as well.  Keep acting like I don't have what you do - nor do I care.

We can agree to disagree - I learned that cop out from you.

What a toxic place - the old soul was right.


Blueprint

Quote from: Blueprint on Oct 19, 09:25 AM 2019
I shared to f'ing help people.  You haven't got a clue. 

YOU have helped NO ONE. 

I believe you're referring to MATT's information that was abused by you, as well.  Keep acting like I don't have what you do - nor do I care.

We can agree to disagree - I learned that cop out from you.

What a toxic place - the old soul was right.

There are very few people here I hold in high regard (priyanka and redd are NOT one of them)... so, my time is up.  I value their relationships more than this place so I'm out.

Herby

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Oct 19, 08:58 AM 2019cause your a math expert
The only math expert was Bayes.
Firefox was not too bad.
Then I see just guys tryin to be the math top dog .
Of course only my opinion as a non math expert.

Herby

Quote from: Blueprint on Oct 19, 09:25 AM 2019What a toxic place - the old soul was right.
Greedy for money can only be a very very young soul.

MoneyT101

Quote from: Blueprint on Oct 19, 09:25 AM 2019
I shared to f'ing help people.  You haven't got a clue. 

YOU have helped NO ONE. 

I believe you're referring to MATT's information that was abused by you, as well.  Keep acting like I don't have what you do - nor do I care.

We can agree to disagree - I learned that cop out from you.

What a toxic place - the old soul was right.
😂😂😂
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

Just leave me alone in the forum... I leave you alone.  Stop coming at me every chance you get.  Past is the past
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

luckyfella

Quote from: Herby on Oct 19, 10:00 AM 2019
Greedy for money can only be a very very young soul.
Wise words. :thumbsup:
Goodbye everyone - 20/10/2019

Joe

Quote from: MoneyT101 on Oct 19, 08:58 AM 2019What if instead of taking the ace and putting it back in deck you put the ace across on the table and now you have a deck of 51 cards and a deck of 1 card.

Now you put a blind fold on and spin the table and place your hand on either deck.  Your chances of pulling an ace are still 4/52. 

No, this is way off. As you mention in the next part of your post, the chance of selecting either pile is 1/2. There are two ways you can get an Ace : either by first picking the 'pile' with 1 card (with probability of an Ace = 100%) or by picking the other pile (probability of an Ace = 3/51). Therefore either by using a tree diagram or the law of total probability, the chance of an Ace is

P(A) = 1/2 * 1 + 1/2 * 3/51 = 9/17.

QuoteNow the real question is...if I did this same thing while playing roulette.  Is it the same effect? 

How can you do the same thing in roulette? The physical setup is completely different.
Logic. It's always in the way.

falkor2k15

Quiz question: what is the opposite to dozen 1 repeating too many times:

11
11
11
11
121
1231
11
11
131
11
11
...

?
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

wiggy

Quote from: falkor2k15 on Oct 19, 04:59 PM 2019
Quiz question: what is the opposite to dozen 1 repeating too many times:


Maybe something like this????

11
2132
313
22
1231
33
212
"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

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