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Outside the box: a different view on roulette numbers

Started by rrbb, May 30, 08:46 AM 2016

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 10 Guests are viewing this topic.

Firefox

Quote from: Firefox on Mar 20, 08:41 AM 2019
Simple question.

You roll a fair 6 sided die 25 times and a whole bunch of numbers come up including 1,2,3,4, and 5 about 5 times each in a random sequence but 6 does not appear.

What is the chance that 6 appears on the next throw?


(a) Greater than 1/6
(b) Less than 1/6
(c) 1/6
(d) Can't tell from the information given.

@Anastasius

The topic is outside the box, so it's open to all answers!

Anastasius

Boom boom sir

Bigbroben

Depending on the reasons 6 has not appeared yet:

1) The dice is heavier on one side so it tends not to land on it;
2) The dice thrower makes it on purpose, he knows his stuff;
3) There is no nr6 on the dice.

If one of the above statement is true, then the odds are less than 1/6.  If all false, 1/6.
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Firefox

It's a fair die and a fair throw, if that helps anyone decide  :smile:

Anastasius

If u have 10 shots at a 1/10 target do u have better chance to hit with 1 shot or 10? Therefore 1/10 remain same.probability increases with trials

Doesnt mean also u cant miss 100 times but
Boom boom sir

Bigbroben

Quote from: Firefox on Mar 20, 09:10 AM 2019
It's a fair die and a fair throw, if that helps anyone decide  :smile:

You have my answer, then.
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Blueprint

The better question, how many times can the 6 repeat on the next toss?

0.



precogmiles

Quote from: Firefox on Mar 20, 09:10 AM 2019
It's a fair die and a fair throw, if that helps anyone decide  :smile:

Odds/probability of a given event does not exist it is a pseudo reality.

There are only probability frequencies in regards to knowledge.

So for example the average person would have a probability of 1/6 for knowing if a 6 would occur.

While a trained precog would have a higher probability for knowing a 6 would occur.

So to answer your question... it depends who is observing and who is rolling.

I don’t think anyone will like my answer but it is the reality.

ati

Quote from: Firefox on Mar 20, 08:41 AM 2019What is the chance that 6 appears on the next throw?

(c) 1/6

I know where you are going with this :)
No one can tell you what the next outcome will be, but we can tell that a number will repeat on the 3rd or 4th roll more often than not. And if you roll 4 unique numbers in a row and the repeat comes on the 5th roll, the last 3 numbers have a higher probability of repeating than the 1st one. Even though all 4 numbers seem equally likely to repeat. You can test it for a million rolls, this will still hold.
This is a statistical imbalance that we are trying to utilize. It's just a piece of the puzzle, and it is a puzzle for a very good reason.

MoneyT101

Quote from: Firefox on Mar 20, 08:41 AM 2019
Simple question.

You roll a fair 6 sided die 25 times and a whole bunch of numbers come up including 1,2,3,4, and 5 about 5 times each in a random sequence but 6 does not appear.

What is the chance that 6 appears on the next throw?


(a) Greater than 1/6
(b) Less than 1/6
(c) 1/6
(d) Can't tell from the information given.

The correct answer is C

Doesn’t matter how many spins the chances are always the same!
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Bigbroben

It's in french but it's an quantic out-of-the box concept.  Could inspire anyone...
Oh!  The cat repeats, oh! it's unique now.

Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Firefox

Quote from: ati on Mar 20, 12:47 PM 2019I know where you are going with this...

Probably not where you think... for this thread, there are no right or wrong answers!

Firefox

Quote from: Bigbroben on Mar 20, 01:09 PM 2019
It's in french but it's an quantic out-of-the box concept.  Could inspire anyone...
Oh!  The cat repeats, oh! it's unique now.

Le chat de Schrodinger  :question:  :wink:

Bigbroben

Quote from: Firefox on Mar 20, 01:42 PM 2019
Le chat de Schrodinger  :question:  :wink:

Although Schroedinger's cat has more odds of being there if someone put it in the box in the first place, unless it has some vibratory quantic abilities of evading through matter.
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Person S

Quote from: Blueprint on Mar 18, 03:13 PM 2019
digging in the archives... see attached.

Statistics on dynamic highs / lows

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