P.A :PREACHING about HG!

[denzie]

If we sure about that riddle has only 30w ....
And we're at 10w/10l...
Well bet the L side

[P.A]

Genntlemen,
please read slowly,
[or the misunderstanding & fault are MINE?
...as my English is terrible! hehehe]

That '30wins in 100spins', is just a game, of riddle,
how u to win, if there only 30wins, in a 100spins, GAME.

It has nothing to do with making your own HG,
just a game u could play, and in the process,
understand how to avoid variance...

I use a GAME, so u will better understand the VARIANCE.

Please pardon , for the misunderstanding.

[P.A]

If we sure about that riddle has only 30w ....
And we're at 10w/10l...
Well bet the L side

Hi Denzie,

In the Game, we know, that has only 30wins, in next 100 spins...

If we sure about that riddle has only 30w ....
And when ,we're at 10w/10L...[after 20spins]
then how many win and lose left,
[as we already know there only 30wins, in 100spins???

10w/10L, then there will 20win and 60Lose, in next 80spins!

10w/10L, then there will 20win and 60Lose=100spins.

it just a game to make u understand variance and avoidance.

[atlantis]

For clarity, PA, why do you not just show a straightforward set of spin by spin results + your w/l recordings?

You wrote:

10w/10L, then there will 20win and 60Lose=100spins.

Seems like denzie was right then?

A.

[P.A]

For clarity, PA, why do you not just show a straightforward set of spin by spin results + your w/l recordings?

A.

Hi A,

I can only show u, how to build your own HG..
U need to read slowly and understand every criteria!,
just slow and steadily, understand, research, and testing..

I already show u the four criteria..and u need to learn slowly.

u already on right direction,  u just need more time to understand.

please read slowly, an understand very aspect!
Thanks.

[P.A]

gentlemen,
I repost the riddle here.

so they do not confuse, with others [the four criteria ],

====================
it just a game. to make u understand, and jump up very high , if u really understand how to solve them!
===================
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
If u could solve this riddle ,
then u had a HG!


In a wonderland, a wonderful casino advertise..
========================
"New Roulette RNG Game,

100spins only per game, then reset.

with GUARANTEED FIXED 30 BLACK VERSUS 70 RED.
in any possible permutation!

[30black + 70 red=100spins per game]

The ONLY Rules: U could ONLY bet BLACK!.

and stake any progression, and bet or not bet,

and play anyway as u like!"
===============================



If I come across this wonderful casino,
I could win, every day!

could u win???

[P.A]

Gentlemen,
The four criteria , are very simple,
but hard to understand if u did not read carefully...


1]U have a VERY STABLE bet-selection,
that will not win huge and then lose huge,
if u bet them without progression.

in fact , STABLE bet selection, will always win very little and lose very little,
it will win, and lose, just around the house edge..

example EC bet selection, will only lose around -2.7%, after many testing.

2]Then u latched a mild progression, to it, and it will win constantly, as the BET selection,...VERY STABLE...it will not, say, [in no progression bet testing] win up to 20units now, and then, next test, lose for 30u..!

3]Variance avoidance...where u can wait, and then bet for lower risk, and higher % chance .

4]cut loss...when expected 'unexpected losses' come.

but will recoup with another 2 or 3 winning seasons.
=====================

The 111spins is just for testing your bet selection purpose,
why 111?
Because 37numbers of roulette, times three=111, has 3 zero probability, then , easy to understand...and see the edge %


The "30wins/100spins", has nothing to do with this HG ideas.. the 30wins, is just a win rate in that RIDDLE, game, that I invent so that u could learn, by playing a hypothesis game...
====================

in-fact 30win/100 is the least expected win/lose,  in B&M casino...
the worst record, is 69red in 200spins.

sorry for the misunderstanding...blame my English!

[atlantis]

Has anyone solved the RIDDLE yet?

I haven't.

I'm working on it...

[denzie]

Well he did say before we need to wait....but how long? If we wait to long then our shot is gone. And like i said...it could take forever to wait till those losses come a lot faster then our winnins.

If we just track till we get 20w/65l in 85spins suuuuure.
But i think P.A. will not mean this.
Sure we can sit there all week till we can bet and bet BIG but...naaah

My head hurts

[RayManZ]

Has anyone solved the RIDDLE yet?

I haven't.

I'm working on it...

Here is what i'm thinking.

PA said. 30win and 70 loss every 100 spins right.

Could it be that it's almost always in balance.

spin 1: W
left: 29WIN

But if i start my next session 1 spin later it's also 30W and 70L.

There is always a balance of 30/70.

That is just my guess. Not sure if i'm right ofcource. But is i had to guess i would say the W/L must always be in balance.

[P.A]

GENTLEMEN,

Below a dozen bet that I applied using ATLANTIS's
single/series idea.

1]bet that a dozen will REPEAT only once,

2]Win or lose,=stop bet.

3]then wait for new dozen, and bet will repeat.
---------------

a special about those dozen below is they are not balance..

example ,

'worst 3rd dozen',
the 3rd dozen,
has much less than the other two dozen.

as u see, the hits are around house edge..[30%]
[if bet without progression],

they will lose around -10units per 100bet taken..

then how are u going to mate them with a MILD progression to win constantly?

What strategy will u use to avoid long streaks of losses?

When to cut loss?...IF NEEDED?

think hard!
========================

ps;as I in haste, I may wrong somewhere...
and that is according to Alantis' idea...not mine...



------------------------
WORST 3rdDOZEN

===========
bet dozen will repeat ONLY ONCE .

14B
5A 2A  4A =hit1
19B
9A       
23B
29C
2A     
21B
10A5A ...................=hit2
   
36C
19B22B16B...................=hit3
29C
21B 
6A 0 lose1
33C       
10A8A2A11A...................=hit4
21B-0  lose2
29C
20B
10A   
17B
1A 0  lose3         
30C
18B
30C27C30C...................=hit5
6A     
25C
19B
28C 34C 0 ...................=hit6
20B     
2A
36C26C   ...................=hit 7
17B23B...................=hit8
5A       
23B
25C
16B15B23B16B ...................=hit 9     
2A4A...................=hit10
35C36C...................=hit11
15B
33C     
19B
31C 0       lose  4
17B
5A
29C       
24B20B...................=hit12
1A5A...................=hit13
14B23B  ...................=hit 14   
12A
35C32C 0...................=hit-15
4A7A  ...................=hit 16           
15B
28C
1A12A...................=hit17
30C32C32C25C...................=hit18
5A         
13B
36C36C ...................=hit 19     
24B
8A
21B           
36C
19B
12A2A...................=hit20
24B20B13B-0=...................=hit21
32C31C...................=hit22
6A10A6A3A3A5A...................=hit23
33C
17B           
27C27C...................=hit24
3A 
15B
2A
34C 27C...................=hit25
15B
6A             
22B21B...................=hit26
7A             
21B
5A
31C         
14B
26C33C ...................=hit27       
12A3A...................=hit28
14B           
27C
12A
13B         
29C32C...................=hit29
16B14B...................=hit30
12A
19B       
30C
6A
17B           
11A-0-             lose5
20B17B24B...................=hit31
30C26C...................=hit32
11A
22B         
26C
22B17B ...................=hit 33       
1A6A...................=hit34
13B               
34C
20B
31C31C32C...................=hit35
7A           
34C
10A9A10A...................=hit36
19B18B...................=hit37           
11A
32C
3A12A...................=hit38
22B19B17B...................=hit39
12A
30C32C26C...................=hit40/118 bet=33.8%

bet repeat=hit40/118 bet=33.8%

===================================
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


WORST 2ndDOZEN in 185spins

============
BET WILL REPEAT ONLY ONCE.

27C
11A
31C     
1A5A=HIT1
13B         
34C
19B
12A     
14B
34C-0      lose1
12A12A  =HIT  2     
24B
4A
30C       
3A
36C
7A 8A=HIT3
13B21B =HIT 4     
30C
12A4A =HIT 5   
34C28C30C =HIT  6   
17B16B21B 24B=HIT7
7A
25C     
8A12A11A 2A8A7A 3A=HIT8
20B
7A 0-            lose3
16B16B13B16B=HIT9
10A12A-0-4A =HIT 10       
26C26C=HIT11
14B     
1A12A=HIT12
30C     
1A
19B
33C       
2A11A=HIT13
23B         
29C-0- lose4
12A       
21B
7A
31C         
9A
24B
2A           
34C
11A
18B     
31C
2A
28C              0-lose5
16B19B   =HIT 14     
33C
17B
11A       
33C30C33C=HIT  15   
14B
5A4A 5A=HIT16
21B
35C       
6A
20B20B =HIT   17     
11A
32C26C =HIT 18     
18B
6A
29C         
15B16B16B 20B13B=HIT19
1A5A6A-07A=HIT20
20B
7A 2A=HIT21
34C26C    =HIT22     
10A
28C
5A           
36C
24B-0        lose6
6A
33C26C 29C28C=HIT23
10A 5A12A=HIT24
25C 33C=HIT25
16B
30C     
1A
23B21B 22B=HIT26
26C
15B 17B=HIT27
2A
35C           
22B
4A
27C  25C27C=HIT28
19B 0-  lose 7
36C25C  =HIT  29       
5A-0-  lose8
14B 18B22B=HIT30
32C         
7A8A
22B     [100TH]         
29C
13B
33C27C  =HIT31
16B20B   =HIT 32   
35C30C=HIT33
5A           
32C29C=HIT34
2A           
22B
36C34C 27C=HIT35
13B
2A
21B
3A

REPEAT=35/115=29%



======================


another WORST  3rdDOZEN in 185spins

===========
BET REPEAT


13B14B=HIT
12A   
20B
25C31C =HIT   
6A
21B
11A   
25C29C-0  =HIT 
8A
20B
8A     
17B20B=HIT
26C  0-   LOSE
16B
7A  2A=HIT
25C
16B 21B=HIT6
8A
17B   
7A6A=HIT7
13B 24B16B=HIT8
2A 1A=HIT9
32C
3A  6A=HIT
30C
8A       
17B15B=HIT11
34C 28C=HIT12
15B
10A 7A10A=HIT13
28C     
10A
27C-0  32C=LOSE
3A
17B     
6A
13B
28C       
20B
29C31C    =HIT14
2A9A=HIT15
36C     
8A
25C
1A         
18B23B23B    =HIT16
36C
20B23B      =HIT17
8A8A=HIT18
25C         
2A
14B
10A 10A=HIT19
27C
20B 24B16B=HIT20
34C     
16B19B=HIT21
29C   
23B
27C32C  0-=HIT22
8A7A      =HIT23       
25C
17B
33C 30C32C=HIT24
13B     
1A4A=HIT25
27C 34C=HIT26
4A
16B 14B=HIT27
35C
10A     
22B
33C
3A         
16B
34C
8A  11A=HIT28
24B24B   0-=HIT29
11A6A  2A=HIT30
31C31C 29C=HIT31
21B14B  17B14B13B  =HIT32     
12A
13B14B    =HIT33   
3A12A2A =HIT34         
21B16B=HIT35
9A         
16B
1A7A  12A=HIT36
25C
7A         
22B
30C
10A       
28C
18B
7A 0 9A=lose
33C           
8A
15B21B  23B=HIT37
6A   [100TH]
23B 15B=HIT38
3A
15B         
2A1A
25C           
23B18B=HIT39
4A         
27C-0-
21B       
36C
2A
32C   28C=HIT40
4A10A      =HIT41   
30C
9A
35C         
9A
17B
6A           
19B
8A 
=
BET REPEAT=41HIT/121BET=33.88%
=================================

[P.A]

Well he did say before we need to wait....but how long? If we wait to long then our shot is gone. And like i said...it could take forever to wait till those losses come a lot faster then our winnins.

If we just track till we get 20w/65l in 85spins suuuuure.
But i think P.A. will not mean this.
Sure we can sit there all week till we can bet and bet BIG but...naaah

My head hurts :lol:

Hi Denzie,
All the pro that silently making money in casino, has ONE trait.
The wait, and wait, and wait, and wait...
They did not rushing in to lose money, it rather wait, and wait, and not losing money,then rush in to lose money.
Impatient kills!

A successful businessman, lawyer, doctor, artist, etc, make huge money after years in their profession,

Never even heard they becomes wealthy after a few months!?
------------------------------------------

Gentlemen,
A hint...
That riddle game 30wins /100, will have so many permutation, of course some will have "clustered wins" some where....?!

[P.A]

Gentlemen,
Bet with Atlantis' idea of series/single.

below an almost BALANCED, dozens, and column .




 
Below a special,

306spins,
Hamburg permanance with almost balanced

DOZEN  and column.

for easy visualization,
they the dozens,
are marked ABC.

1. Dutzend  100
2. Dutzend  100
3. Dutzend   98
1. COL      100
2. COL       99
3. COL       99



bet dozen will series, vs single.

bet that a trigger of a new dozen will hit , ONCE

only, and wait for new dozen.
Namely single/series,
but bet a trigger of a series will hit at the second

time, and a single will be losing.

Spielbank Hamburg
Tisch 0001
31.03.2001
Gewinnzahlen:




    14B==lose1

    35C=hit1
    25C

    20B==lose2

    1A==lose3

    31C==lose4

    9A==lose5

    13B==lose6

    6A==lose7

    27C==lose8

    5A==lose9

    25C==lose10

    1A==lose11

    33C==lose12

    19B==lose13

    11A==lose14

    17B=hit2
    18B

    3A=hit3
    10A

    36C==lose15

    17B=hit4
    13B

    36C==lose16

    22B==

    34C==

    23B==

    8A==

    29 C==

    10A==

    29C==lose23

    9A=hit5
    7A

    00 nb

    2A

    25C

    18B=hit6
    18B
    15B

    35C

    13B

    33C=hit7
    28C

    22B

    32C

    14B==30

    27C

    6A=hit8
    7A

    27C

    20B

    28C

    12A

    27C

    20B=hit9
    23B

    11A

    35C

    14B

    28C==40

    7A

    33C

    16B=hit10
    23B

    33C

    21B

    29C

    17B==46

    30C=hit11
    32C
    35C
    30C

    18B

    7A

    22B=hit12
    19B

    00 nb

    33C=hit13
    27C

    15B==49

    1A=hit14
    5A
    11A
    11A

    30C=hit15
    27C
    36C

    6A=hit16
    5A

    24B==50

    4A

    16B=hit17
    22B

    9A

    18B

    29C=hit18
    35C

    8A

    21B

    9A

    28C

    8A

    16B=hit19
    17B

    7A

    21B=60

    27C=hit20
    27C

    14B=lose61
    00
    24B

    7A

    21B

    9A

    25C

    13B=hit21
    16B

    10A

    20B=hit22
    18B

    32C

    00 nb
    27C==68

    19B=hit23
    20B

    1A=hit24
    5A

    36C=hit25
    29C

    00
    11A

    22B==70

    30C

    4A

    18B

    2A

    30C=hit26
    32C
    33C
    33C

    31B

    12A=76

    16B=hit27
    17B

    2A=hit28
    6A
    4A
    9A
    11A

    13B=hit29
    15B

    3A

    29C

    8A

    24B=hit30
   19B

    28C==80

    9A

    15B=hit31
    19B

    10A=hit32
    7A

    18B

    11A=hit33
    11A

    22B

    35C=hit34
    25C

    6A

    26C=hit35
    25C

    1A

    28C=hit36
    30C

    7A

    20B

    3A

    16B

    5A=hit37
    8A

    32C=hit38
    29C

    11A=90

    17B=hit39
    14B

    6A

    23B=hit40
    15B

    10A

    22B=hit41
    20B

    28C

    13B=hit42
    16B

    4A

    13B=hit43
    20B

    34C

    9A

    18B=hit44
    16B
    23B
    18B

    11A

    33C=hit45
    30C

    20B=hit46
    17B

    1A=hit47
    8A

    13B=hit48
    18B
    14B

    4A

    25C

    18B=100

    30C=hit49
    28C

    9A=hit50
    9A
    3A
    10A

    19B=hit51
    14B

    7A

    33C=hit52
    29C
    27C

    00 nb

    5A

    18B

    8A=hit53
    11A

    27C=hit54
    32C
    32C
    27C

    21B

    12A

    13B

    00 nb

    30C=hit55
    35C

    7A=hit56
    2A
    9A
    10A

    36C=hit57
    34C

    11A=hit58
    3A

    17B

    2A=hit59
    2A

    19B=hit60
    19B

    26C

    1A=hit61
    11A

    29C

    9A=110

    30C

    15B

    35C

    11A

    29C

    16B

    28C

    1A=hit62
    7A

    20B=hit63
    19B
    16B
    14B

    35C=hit64
    31C

    17B

    31C

    22B=120

    34C

    9A

    19B

    5A

    28C

    6A

    16B

    1A

    31C

    6A=130

    18B=hit65
    17B

    3A

    31C=hit66
    25C

    3A

    30C

    11A

    6A

    36C=hit67
    26C
    35C

    23B

    30C=hit68
    31C

    1A=137

    00=nb

    ==================
    ================
=hit68
=lose137
=33.1%


This winning hit AROUND the math expectation.

Thus how will u bet, with a very mild progression?

How to avoid variance?

When to cut loss..???

ABOVE JUST AN EXAMPLE, of searching for good bet selection, and match them with progression, to constantly win.
[ and not my HG...]

[denzie]

Hi Denzie,
All the pro that silently making money in casino, has ONE trait.
The wait, and wait, and wait, and wait...
They did not rushing in to lose money, it rather wait, and wait, and not losing money,then rush in to lose money.
Impatient kills!


[/quote]

I've got it right?

[atlantis]

I don't mind the waiting at all...

Still stuck with that dastardly RIDDLE !**?%**

A.